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    2026

    (Near) Real-Time Detection of Rapid Co-Movements with Candlestick Information

    Reka Lantos, Ingmar Nolte, Sandra Nolte and Manh Pham

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Lantos/Nolte/Nolte/Pham2026b,
    author = {Lantos, Reka and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra and Pham, Manh},
    title = {(Near) Real-Time Detection of Rapid Co-Movements with Candlestick Information},
    year = {2026},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.7620219},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7620219},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 7620219; revised 10 November 2026},
    date = {2026-11-10}
    }
    2026

    The Frequency Term Structure of Factor Premia

    Bruno Moreira, Ingmar Nolte and Sandra Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Moreira/Nolte/Nolte2026,
    author = {Moreira, Bruno and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {The Frequency Term Structure of Factor Premia},
    year = {2026},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2026

    Volatility Forecasting Factors

    Marco Cinquetti, Seok Young Hong, Ingmar Nolte and Sandra Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Cinquetti/Hong/Nolte/Nolte2026,
    author = {Cinquetti, Marco and Hong, Seok Young and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {Volatility Forecasting Factors},
    year = {2026},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5502438},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2026

    A Linear Weight Estimator for Dynamic Global Minimum Variance Portfolio Allocation

    Ekaterina Kazak, Yifan Li, Ingmar Nolte and Sandra Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Kazak/Li/Nolte/Nolte2024,
    author = {Kazak, Ekaterina and Li, Yifan and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {A Linear Weight Estimator for Dynamic Global Minimum Variance Portfolio Allocation},
    year = {2024},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    url = {https://wp.lancs.ac.uk/fofi2024/files/2024/04/FoFI-2024-133-Yifan-Li.pdf},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    Closely related version
    Realized Weight Regression for Dynamic Realized Global Minimum Variance Portfolio Allocation
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Kazak/Li/Nolte/Nolte2023,
    author = {Kazak, Ekaterina and Li, Yifan and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {Realized Weight Regression for Dynamic Realized Global Minimum Variance Portfolio Allocation},
    year = {2023},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.4011298},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4011298},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 4011298}
    }
    Manuscript
    2026

    The Impact of Misleading Corporate Communication on Stock Performance

    Lewei He, Harald Lohre, Ingmar Nolte and Yaqiong Yao

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{He/Lohre/Nolte/Yao2026,
    author = {He, Lewei and Lohre, Harald and Nolte, Ingmar and Yao, Yaqiong},
    title = {The Impact of Misleading Corporate Communication on Stock Performance},
    year = {2026},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4871393},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2025

    The Price of Emissions: Carbon Risk in the European Equity Market

    Lewei He, Harald Lohre, Ingmar Nolte and Yaqiong Yao

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{He/Lohre/Nolte/Yao2025,
    author = {He, Lewei and Lohre, Harald and Nolte, Ingmar and Yao, Yaqiong},
    title = {The Price of Emissions: Carbon Risk in the European Equity Market},
    year = {2025},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.5930876},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5930876},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 5930876}
    }
    2024

    Power Sorting

    Anastasios Kagkadis, Harald Lohre, Ingmar Nolte, Sandra Nolte, Manh Cuong Pham and Nikolaos Vasilas

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Kagkadis/Lohre/Nolte/Nolte/Pham/Vasilas2024,
    author = {Kagkadis, Anastasios and Lohre, Harald and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra and Pham, Manh Cuong and Vasilas, Nikolaos},
    title = {Power Sorting},
    year = {2024},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.4552208},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4552208},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 4552208}
    }
    2022

    The Maximal Range-Return Divergence Statistic

    Yifan Li, Ingmar Nolte and Sandra Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Li/Nolte/Nolte2022,
    author = {Li, Yifan and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {The Maximal Range-Return Divergence Statistic},
    year = {2022},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    url = {https://wp.lancs.ac.uk/ingmarnolte/files/2022/09/MAED_200922.pdf},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2022

    Direct Portfolio Weight Estimator: Mitigating Specification Risk with Realized Utility

    Ekaterina Kazak, Yifan Li, Ingmar Nolte and Sandra Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Kazak/Li/Nolte/Nolte2022b,
    author = {Kazak, Ekaterina and Li, Yifan and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {Direct Portfolio Weight Estimator: Mitigating Specification Risk with Realized Utility},
    year = {2022},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    url = {https://www.efmaefm.org/0efmameetings/efma%20annual%20meetings/2022-rome/papers/efma%202022_stage-3032_question-full%20paper_id-249.pdf},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2021

    Volatility Estimation and Sampling Efficiency: An Intrinsic Time Approach

    Yifan Li, Ingmar Nolte and Sandra Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Li/Nolte/Nolte2021b,
    author = {Li, Yifan and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {Volatility Estimation and Sampling Efficiency: An Intrinsic Time Approach},
    year = {2021},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2021

    Combining expected shortfall and value-at-risk forecasts using machine learning techniques

    David Happersberger, Harald Lohre, Ingmar Nolte and Maximilian Stroh

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Happersberger/Lohre/Nolte/Stroh2021,
    author = {Happersberger, David and Lohre, Harald and Nolte, Ingmar and Stroh, Maximilian},
    title = {Combining expected shortfall and value-at-risk forecasts using machine learning techniques},
    year = {2021},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2021

    Bolstering the Modelling and Forecasting of Realized Covariance Matrices using (Directional) Common Jumps

    Rodrigo Hizmeri, Marwan Izzeldin and Ingmar Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Hizmeri/Izzeldin/Nolte2021,
    author = {Hizmeri, Rodrigo and Izzeldin, Marwan and Nolte, Ingmar},
    title = {Bolstering the Modelling and Forecasting of Realized Covariance Matrices using (Directional) Common Jumps},
    year = {2021},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.3745671},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3745671},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 3745671}
    }
    2020

    The relevance of high-frequency news analytics for lower-frequency investment strategies

    David Happersberger, Harald Lohre, Ingmar Nolte and Carsten Rother

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Happersberger/Lohre/Nolte/Rother2020,
    author = {Happersberger, David and Lohre, Harald and Nolte, Ingmar and Rother, Carsten},
    title = {The relevance of high-frequency news analytics for lower-frequency investment strategies},
    year = {2020},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    url = {https://www.efmaefm.org/0EFMAMEETINGS/EFMA%20ANNUAL%20MEETINGS/2020-Dublin/papers/EFMA%202020_stage-1301_question-Full%20Paper_id-515.pdf},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2019

    Renewal Based Volatility Estimation

    Yifan Li, Ingmar Nolte and Sandra Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Li/Nolte/Nolte2019b,
    author = {Li, Yifan and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {Renewal Based Volatility Estimation},
    year = {2019},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.3123062},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3123062},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 3123062}
    }
    2019

    Revisiting the Measurement Error in q: An Investigation of the Covariance among Regressors

    Shushu Liao, Ingmar Nolte and Grzegorz Pawlina

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Liao/Nolte/Pawlina2019,
    author = {Liao, Shushu and Nolte, Ingmar and Pawlina, Grzegorz},
    title = {Revisiting the Measurement Error in q: An Investigation of the Covariance among Regressors},
    year = {2019},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2018

    High-Frequency Covariance Matrix Estimation Using Price Durations

    Xiaolu Zhao, Ingmar Nolte and Stephen J. Taylor

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Zhao/Nolte/Taylor2018,
    author = {Zhao, Xiaolu and Nolte, Ingmar and Taylor, Stephen J.},
    title = {High-Frequency Covariance Matrix Estimation Using Price Durations},
    year = {2018},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.3162514},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3162514},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 3162514}
    }
    2017

    High-Frequency Volatility Estimation and the Relative Importance of Market Microstructure Variables

    Yifan Li, Ingmar Nolte and Sandra Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Li/Nolte/Nolte2017,
    author = {Li, Yifan and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {High-Frequency Volatility Estimation and the Relative Importance of Market Microstructure Variables},
    year = {2017},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.2665639},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2665639},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 2665639}
    }
    2017

    A Least Squares Regression Realised Covariation Estimation under MMS Noise and Non-Synchronous Trading

    Ingmar Nolte, Michalis Vasios, Valeri Voev and Qi Xu

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Nolte/Vasios/Voev/Xu2017,
    author = {Nolte, Ingmar and Vasios, Michalis and Voev, Valeri and Xu, Qi},
    title = {A Least Squares Regression Realised Covariation Estimation under MMS Noise and Non-Synchronous Trading},
    year = {2017},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    Related version
    A Least Squares Regression Realized Covariation Estimation
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Nolte/Vasios/Voev/Xu2019,
    author = {Nolte, Ingmar and Vasios, Michalis and Voev, Valeri and Xu, Qi},
    title = {A Least Squares Regression Realized Covariation Estimation},
    year = {2019},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.2205033},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2205033},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 2205033}
    }
    (Web-Appendix)
    2017

    All Things both Great and Small: Transaction Cost Persistence in Corporate Bonds

    Redouane Elkamhi, Jonatan Groba and Ingmar Nolte

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Elkamhi/Groba/Nolte2017,
    author = {Elkamhi, Redouane and Groba, Jonatan and Nolte, Ingmar},
    title = {All Things both Great and Small: Transaction Cost Persistence in Corporate Bonds},
    year = {2017},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    url = {https://www.efmaefm.org/0EFMAMEETINGS/EFMA%20ANNUAL%20MEETINGS/2017-Athens/papers/EFMA2017_0258_fullpaper.pdf},
    note = {Working paper}
    }
    2015

    Dissecting Volatility Risks in Currency Markets

    Ingmar Nolte, Mark P. Taylor and Qi Xu

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Nolte/Taylor/Xu2015,
    author = {Nolte, Ingmar and Taylor, Mark P. and Xu, Qi},
    title = {Dissecting Volatility Risks in Currency Markets},
    year = {2015},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.2686288},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2686288},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 2686288}
    }
    2015

    Uncovering the Benefit of High-Frequency Data in Portfolio Allocation

    Ingmar Nolte and Qi Xu

    Working Paper, Lancaster University Management School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Nolte/Xu2015c,
    author = {Nolte, Ingmar and Xu, Qi},
    title = {Uncovering the Benefit of High-Frequency Data in Portfolio Allocation},
    year = {2015},
    institution = {Lancaster University Management School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.2406899},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2406899},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 2406899}
    }
    2013

    Profiting from Mimicking Strategies in Non-Anonymous Markets

    Ingmar Nolte, Richard G. Payne and Michalis Vasios

    Working Paper, Warwick Business School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Nolte/Payne/Vasios2013,
    author = {Nolte, Ingmar and Payne, Richard G. and Vasios, Michalis},
    title = {Profiting from Mimicking Strategies in Non-Anonymous Markets},
    year = {2013},
    institution = {Warwick Business School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.1820324},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1820324},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 1820324}
    }
    2013

    An MCMC Approach to Multivariate Density Forecasting: An Application to Liquidity

    Fabian Krüger and Ingmar Nolte

    Working Paper, Warwick Business School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Kruger/Nolte2013,
    author = {Krüger, Fabian and Nolte, Ingmar},
    title = {An MCMC Approach to Multivariate Density Forecasting: An Application to Liquidity},
    year = {2013},
    institution = {Warwick Business School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.1743707},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1743707},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 1743707}
    }
    2011

    Where Do the Joneses Go on Vacation? Social Distance and the Influence of Online Reviews on Product Sales

    Leif Brandes, Ingmar Nolte and Sandra Nolte

    Working Paper, Warwick Business School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Brandes/Nolte/Nolte2011,
    author = {Brandes, Leif and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra},
    title = {Where Do the Joneses Go on Vacation? Social Distance and the Influence of Online Reviews on Product Sales},
    year = {2011},
    institution = {Warwick Business School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.1921358},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1921358},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 1921358}
    }
    2009

    Customer Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market: Empirical Evidence from an Internet Trading Platform

    Sandra Lechner and Ingmar Nolte

    FERC Working Paper 09-01, Warwick Business School.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Lechner/Nolte2009,
    author = {Lechner, Sandra and Nolte, Ingmar},
    title = {Customer Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market: Empirical Evidence from an Internet Trading Platform},
    number = {09-01},
    year = {2009},
    institution = {Warwick Business School},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.908255},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=908255},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 908255},
    series = {FERC Working Paper}
    }
    2007

    Estimating High-Frequency Based (Co-) Variances: A Unified Approach

    Ingmar Nolte and Valeri Voev

    CoFE Working Paper 07/07, University of Konstanz.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Nolte/Voev2007a,
    author = {Nolte, Ingmar and Voev, Valeri},
    title = {Estimating High-Frequency Based (Co-) Variances: A Unified Approach},
    number = {07/07},
    year = {2007},
    institution = {University of Konstanz},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.1003201},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1003201},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 1003201},
    series = {CoFE Working Paper}
    }
    2006

    Estimating Liquidity Using Information on the Multivariate Trading Process

    Katarzyna Bien, Ingmar Nolte and Winfried Pohlmeier

    CoFE Working Paper 06/03, University of Konstanz.

    Working paper
    BibTeX
    @unpublished{Bien/Nolte/Pohlmeier2006,
    author = {Bien, Katarzyna and Nolte, Ingmar and Pohlmeier, Winfried},
    title = {Estimating Liquidity Using Information on the Multivariate Trading Process},
    number = {06/03},
    year = {2006},
    institution = {University of Konstanz},
    doi = {10.2139/ssrn.915348},
    url = {https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=915348},
    note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 915348},
    series = {CoFE Working Paper}
    }

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