{"id":7118,"date":"2017-08-08T12:53:21","date_gmt":"2017-08-08T12:53:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sustainableagriculturewaitrose.org\/?p=7118"},"modified":"2017-08-08T12:53:21","modified_gmt":"2017-08-08T12:53:21","slug":"dramatic-changes-needed-in-farming-practices-to-keep-pace-with-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/2017\/08\/08\/dramatic-changes-needed-in-farming-practices-to-keep-pace-with-climate-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Dramatic changes needed in farming practices to keep pace with climate change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-7119\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/files\/2017\/08\/Flooding-345x250_0.jpg?resize=300%2C217\" alt=\"\u00a9 James Hutton Institute\" width=\"300\" height=\"217\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/files\/2017\/08\/Flooding-345x250_0.jpg?resize=300%2C217&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/files\/2017\/08\/Flooding-345x250_0.jpg?w=345&amp;ssl=1 345w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Major changes in agricultural practices will be required to offset increases in nutrient losses due to climate change, according to <a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-017-00232-0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">research published<\/a> by a scientific consortium including the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hutton.ac.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">James Hutton Institute<\/a>.\u00a0<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>To combat repeated, damaging storm events, which strip agricultural land of soil and nutrients, farmers are already adopting measures to conserve these assets where they are needed.<\/p>\n<p>But in a n<a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-017-00232-0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ew paper in the journal <em>Nature Communications<\/em><\/a>, researchers investigating nutrients in runoff from agricultural land warn that phosphorus losses will increase, due to climate change, unless this is mitigated by making major changes to agricultural practices.<\/p>\n<p>These changes could include a more judicious use of fertilizer including strategies to use soil phosphorus more efficiently, or physical measures to reduce the losses of nutrients from fields.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.lancaster.ac.uk\/lec\/about-us\/people\/philip-haygarth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Professor Phil Haygarth<\/a> of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lancaster.ac.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Lancaster University<\/a>&#8216;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lancaster.ac.uk\/lec\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Environment Centre<\/a> led the three-year <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nerc.ac.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Natural Environment Research Council<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.defra.gov.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">DEFRA-<\/a>funded study.<\/p>\n<p>He said: \u201cThe warmer, wetter winters predicted for the future will result in more phosphorus transferred from agricultural land into the rivers and ultimately the oceans. Although farmers are already doing what they can to prevent these losses, the currently adopted measures are not likely to be enough to offset the increase expected under climate change.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis paper should alert policy makers and government to the help and support that farmers will need to achieve the scale of agricultural change that may be necessary to keep up with the increase in pollution due to climate change.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Nutrients, such as phosphorus and nitrogen are essential to crop and animal growth, but too many nutrients cause algal blooms in rivers and lakes. These suffocate fish and other organisms and require costly remediation by water supply companies.<\/p>\n<p>Fertilisers and manures washed off in storms are a major source of nutrients, with more than 60 per cent of the nitrogen and 25 per cent of the phosphorus in our rivers coming from agriculture.<\/p>\n<p>The research in the paper combined the latest climate predictions from the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.metoffice.gov.uk\/climate-guide\/science\/science-behind-climate-change\/hadley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Met Office Hadley Centre<\/a>, including a high resolution climate model for the UK, with two phosphorus transfer models of different complexity. The predictions incorporated both the uncertainty in the data and the natural inter-annual variability in climate.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.metoffice.gov.uk\/research\/people\/pete-falloon\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dr Pete Falloon<\/a> of the Met Office Hadley Centre, who led the climate modelling, said \u201cState-of-the-art high resolution climate models were used in this project alongside the latest <a href=\"http:\/\/ukclimateprojections.metoffice.gov.uk\/21678\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">UKCP09 climate projections<\/a>. While rainfall intensity was more realistically predicted by the high-resolution climate models, particularly for summer convective storms, these storms do not make a significant difference to summer phosphorus losses. Our study therefore showed that the main factor driving increased future phosphorus losses was the projected increase in winter rainfall.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The project &#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/nutcat2050.org.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nutrients in Catchments to 2050<\/a> &#8211; involved researchers at Lancaster University, the UK Met Office Hadley Centre, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bangor.ac.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bangor University<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.liv.ac.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Liverpool University<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www2.mmu.ac.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Manchester Metropolitan University<\/a> and had associated partners at the James Hutton Institute, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.uea.ac.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">University of East Anglia<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.anglia.ac.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Anglia Ruskin University<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rothamsted.ac.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Rothamsted Research<\/a> and from the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.demonstratingcatchmentmanagement.net\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">National Demonstration Test Catchments<\/a> Team.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.hutton.ac.uk\/staff\/kit-macleod\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Dr Kit Macleod<\/a>, senior catchment modeller at the James Hutton Institute&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hutton.ac.uk\/research\/groups\/information-and-computational-sciences\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Information and Computational Sciences<\/a> group and co-author of the study, said the Institute&#8217;s contribution to the research focused on the planning and delivery of structured stakeholder elicitation workshops, where stakeholders discussed and selected likely land management options from a range of possibilities.<\/p>\n<p>Read the paper in\u00a0<em>Nature Communications<\/em>:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-017-00232-0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Major agricultural changes required to mitigate phosphorus losses under climate change<\/a> (Open Access).<\/p>\n<p><em>Article source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hutton.ac.uk\/news\/dramatic-changes-needed-farming-practices-keep-pace-climate-change\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">James Hutton Institute<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p class=\"excerpt\">Major changes in agricultural practices will be required to offset increases in nutrient losses due to climate change, according to research published by a scientific consortium including the James Hutton Institute.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":381,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[33,68,98,242,314,361,421,436,535,618,678,679,708,720,736,768,778,783,819,820,906,911,940,974,1004,1170,1175,1190],"class_list":["post-7118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-press-release","tag-agriculture","tag-anglia-ruskin-university","tag-bangor-university","tag-climate-change","tag-defra","tag-dr-peter-falloon","tag-eutrophication","tag-farming","tag-hadley-centre","tag-james-hutton-institute","tag-lancaster-environment-centre","tag-lancaster-university","tag-liverpool-university","tag-manchester-metropolitan-university","tag-met-office","tag-national-demonstration-test-catchments","tag-nature-communications","tag-nerc","tag-nutrients","tag-nutrients-in-catchments-to-2050","tag-policy","tag-pollution","tag-professor-phil-haygarth","tag-research","tag-rothamsted-research","tag-uea","tag-ukcp09-climate-projections","tag-university-of-east-anglia"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7118","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/381"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7118"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7118\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7118"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7118"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.lancs.ac.uk\/sustainable-agriculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7118"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}